Global and China Automotive Multi-layer Ceramic Capacitor (MLCC) Markets 2020-2026 - Some Vendors have Pivoted to the Automotive MLCC Market

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As one of the most widely used passive components, MLCC occupies approximately 40% of the capacitor market. MLCC has been widely used in communications, consumer electronics, automotive and military fields. The strong demand in these fields has prompted the expanding MLCC market.

Consumer electronics (especially smart phones, which account for 39% of total consumption) consume approximately 64% of MLCC. As far as the iPhone is concerned, smart phones with higher configurations use more MLCCs. For example, iPhone X requires as many as 1100 MLCCs compared to the 400-piece iPhone 5S. In addition, in recent years, portable and smart wearable devices such as TWS earphones and smart watches have attracted widespread market attention, resulting in a large demand for MLCC.

As the commercial use of 5G is developing rapidly, smartphones supporting 5G will have more MLCCs than 4G. For example, use MLCC to increase Sub-6Ghz 5G smartphones by 10%-15% and mmWave 5G mobile phones by 20%-30%. At the same time, the higher power consumption of 5G smartphones further promotes the demand for high-capacity, low-power high-end, micro/ultra-micro (0201, 01005, etc.) MLCCs.

During the rapid construction of 5G in 2020, compared with 4G, there will be more 5G base stations to be built, and each such MLCC will have a larger number. These are two factors that are increasing the demand for MLCC. By 2023, the demand for MLCC in global communication base stations will be 2.1 times that of 2019

. At the same time, the Internet of Things (IoT), which requires more stable connections, will be the beneficiaries of low-latency 5G networks. A VENKEL study shows that an average terminal needs more than 75 MLCCs. It can be foreseen from this that more and more interconnected IOT devices will undoubtedly stimulate the growth of the MLCC market.

The development of new energy vehicles and ADAS has pushed MLCC to a new blue ocean. An ordinary car requires about 3,000 or 4,000 MLCC, while a hybrid/plug-in hybrid car requires about 12,000, and an electric car requires about 18,000.

In the vehicle electronic system, ADAS using more MLCC can collect, detect, identify and track the change data inside and outside the vehicle through the sensors on the vehicle in the shortest time, and use it in combination to help the driver pay attention to correctness and safety Operate the potentially dangerous navigation map data for calculation and analysis. The wider coverage of 5G networks will be another solution to the delay problem. As more and more vehicles are equipped with more intelligent ADAS, the demand for MLCC will increase exponentially.

New energy vehicles with more control modules (such as ECU) require more passive components to support the electronic system, while new energy vehicles require at least 10,000 MLCC. In recent years, with the introduction of a timetable for the elimination of ICE vehicles on a global scale, new energy vehicles have a higher penetration rate, coupled with the increase in the use of MLCC by a single vehicle, which has stimulated the demand for automotive MLCC.

In a variety of automotive MLCC models, the size range used is 0402 to 2220, and the most used are 0603, 0805 and 1206. Although the size of the MLCC is not concerned, the automotive market has high requirements for safety parameters (reliability, service life and failure rate) as well as operating temperature, humidity, climate and vibration resistance. The automotive market poses a high barrier to entry for MLCC, and must comply with a series of automotive standards (AEC-Q200) and pass quality certification.

In the MLCC market, leading manufacturers include Murata, Samsung Electronics, Yageo, Walsin Technology,

, TDK, Kyocera and Mainland China companies such as Fenghua Advanced Technology and Chaozhou Sanhuan. Since 2016, MLCC suppliers such as Murata and TDK have rarely shifted to focus on automotive MLCC, which is a promising and lucrative high-tech market. This move disrupted the global passive component supply chain, causing low-end customers to turn to companies such as Yageo, Fenghua Advanced Technology and Chaozhou Sanhuan.

Murata Manufacturing Co., Ltd. is the world's largest MLCC supplier (approximately 56% of the automotive MLCC market), with an annual production capacity of about 1,100 billion. In recent years, the company has reduced the production capacity of low-end MLCCs while increasing the production of automobiles and other high-end products. Murata Manufacturing Co., Ltd. has accelerated the development and mass production of MLCC for high-end consumer electronic products, as well as the release of automotive products. In 2019, Murata began spawning 008004, which will be used in 5G flagship phones of Apple and Huawei. in

, Murata Manufacturing Co., Ltd. began mass production of two new automotive multilayer ceramic capacitors-NFM15HC105D0G3, which is the world’s smallest 0402 size (1.00.5mm) three-terminal low ESL multilayer ceramic capacitor, and NFM18HC106D0G3, which has three terminals Low ESL multilayer ceramic capacitors have the world's highest 10F capacitance in 0603 size (1.60.8 mm), suitable for ADAS and autonomous driving.

In recent years, Samsung Electromechanical, which ranks second in the MLCC market share (ranked fourth in the automotive MLCC market, with a share of about 6%) has also followed closely, such as squeezing low-end production capacity and accelerating deployment. High-end products. in

, The company has developed five new types of MLCC, including three types for power systems and two types for anti-lock braking systems, which will be introduced to global automakers in the future. Except in

Samsung Electro-Mechanics is advancing the construction of a new plant in Mexico

.

In view of its disadvantages in the MLCC of consumer electronic products, TDK cancelled the order of 700 million MLCCs covering approximately 360 models and committed to mid-to-high-end products in 2017. This is the first initiative for TDK to seize market share. Companies exploring the automotive MLCC market. About 25% of the shares.

In recent years, MLCC suppliers in mainland China have made rapid progress, especially Fenghua Advanced Technology Co., Ltd. is one of the few complete MLCC suppliers in China that provides MLCCs covering 01005-2220 and above specifications. Technical process has advantages; but it is still aimed at consumer electronics. The company launched products that meet the AEC-Q200 standard in 2018, but due to its weak foundation, it still does not pose a threat to its Japanese and Korean counterparts.

Since 2018, traditional car manufacturers around the world have begun large-scale deployment of electric car manufacturing, and governments have also proposed a timetable for phasing out ICE cars. Since the number of MLCCs used in electric vehicles is 6 times the number of MLCCs in ordinary cars, MLCCs are bound to be highly sought after. Hundreds of automakers need automotive MLCCs provided by only a few automotive MLCC suppliers, which inevitably leads to a tight supply of automotive MLCCs in the next two or three years. This is an important issue for any car that is ready for electric vehicle capacity expansion. It is a huge challenge vehicle for manufacturers, and even an impossible task for emerging car manufacturers, because leading MLCC suppliers will give priority to major car manufacturers. Finally, MLCCs from secondary suppliers may cause quality problems and huge maintenance costs.

MLCC industry (definition, classification, industry chain, technology trend, etc.);

Global and Chinese MLCC market (scale and forecast, competitive landscape, market segmentation, etc.);

Automotive MLCC market (scale and forecast, competition mode, etc.);

Leading automotive MLCC supplier

And other aspects (configuration files, operations, business, new products, etc.);

Upstream MLCC formula supplier (profile, operation, business, new products, etc.)

1.1 Capacitor

1.1.1 Classification of capacitors

1.1.2 Comparison between capacitors

1.1.3 Market share trends of various capacitors

1.2 MLCC

1.2.1 Classification of MLCC

1.2.2 MLCC manufacturing process

1.2.3 MLCC model

1.2.4 MLCC Industry Chain

1.3 Development Trend

2.1 MLCC market

2.1.1 Global MLCC Shipments

2.1.2 Market structure

2.1.3 China's MLCC market size

2.2 MLCC capabilities and competition

2.2.1 Top Ten MLCC Suppliers

2.2.2 Competitive landscape

2.2.3 Market Share

2.2.4 Production expansion plans of major suppliers

2.2.5 Product distribution of major suppliers

2.2.6 Existence of major suppliers

2.3 MLCC price

2.4 MLCC of consumer electronics

2.4.1 MLCC-5G for consumer electronics

2.4.2 MLCC-product iteration of consumer electronics

2.4.3 MLCC-wearable for consumer electronics

2.5 Industrial MLCC

2.5.1 Industrial MLCC-5G base station

2.5.2 Industrial MLCC-Internet of Things

3.1 MLCC of the vehicle

3.1.1 The demand trend of MLCC in automobiles

3.1.2 MLCC-ADAS for automotive

3.1.3 MLCC for automobiles-new energy vehicles

3.1.4 AEC-Q200

3.2 Market scale of automotive MLCC

3.3 Competitive landscape

3.3.1 Product Layout

3.3.2 Production expansion plan

3.3.3 Participation of Chinese manufacturers

4.1 Murata Electronics

4.2 Samsung Electromechanical

4.3 TDK

4.4 Kyocera

4.5

4.6 KEMET

4.7 Huaxin Technology

4.8 Yageo

4.9 Sacred Stone

4.10 Fenghua Advanced Technology

4.11 Japan Chemical Industry Association

5.1 Sakai Chemical

5.2 Iron

5.3 Prosperity Dielectric Co., Ltd. (PDC)

5.4 Shandong Zhongci functional materials

5.5 Japan Chemical Industry Co., Ltd.

5.6 Shoes

5.7 Sumitomo Metal Industries

5.8 Shouwu

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Electric vehicles are becoming more and more popular, and this trend is driven by social recognition, green awareness, and awareness of the defects of internal combustion engines. Electric vehicles (EV) solve some of these shortcomings. They bring lower emissions, less car pollution, and a commitment to high performance. For the time being, the main disadvantage is the high cost and relatively short range of current battery technology. Even so, many consumers still believe that the benefits outweigh the costs, and the sales of electric vehicles are increasing. China in particular has long been known for its pollution and smog problems, and the government is actively promoting electric vehicles as a possible improvement factor. In addition, electric vehicles are characterized by rapid acceleration and (usually) short-distance driving, making them ideal for China's crowded and growing urban centers. 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Li Auto (LI) Chinese electric vehicle company Li Auto prides itself on having the country's only best-selling electric vehicle model. In October last year, "Li ONE" (Li ONE) sold 3,700 units, and the total sales in the first year reached 22,000 units. Based on current sales and productivity, Mr. Li predicts that the company's annual sales will double this year. This is important in the world's largest electric vehicle market. Among all electric vehicles sold in the world, more than half are produced in China, almost all electric buses. Founded in 2015, Li Auto focuses on plug-in hybrid vehicles-models that can be plugged into charging stations to maintain batteries, and internal combustion engines that can compensate for low-density charging networks. Li ONE is a large-scale SUV hybrid vehicle that quickly gained popularity in the market. Li Auto will be listed on the Nasdaq in July 2020. In the initial public offering, the company opened with a stock price of $11.50 and closed up 40% on the first day. In the following months, LI has appreciated by 116%. These stocks rose as the company announced strong earnings. In the third quarter and 20th quarter of the third quarter report, LI's sales were 363 million U.S. dollars, an increase of 28% from the previous quarter and accounted for the largest share of the company's total revenue of 369.8 million U.S. dollars. Mr. Li also stated that free cash flow increased by 149% from the previous quarter to $110.4 million. Lee was impressed with Li Auto’s technology and pointed out: “Due to (1) extended range, (2) limited low temperature impact, and (3) more acceptance by car buyers, Li One’s EREV powertrain has proven to be very successful. This advantage It is sustainable. Before the cost of batteries in the 25th fiscal year (LFP) and the 27th fiscal year (NMC) are equalized, this makes the automaker LI AUTO become the first to turn OCF into a positive number and achieve profitability earlier than its peers. Automobile manufacturers." China has successfully commercialized Extended Range Electric Vehicles (EREV), which is a solution to the anxiety of drivers and the high BOM of automakers. The ER system is powered by fuel. In addition to the battery pack, it also provides other power sources. In a low temperature environment, the BEV may lose up to 50% of the printing range, which is excellent. "Thinking of the company's technology as the main attraction for customers. Lee and investors both started investing in LI with a buy rating and a price target of $44.50. This figure means that there will be a 25% growth in the coming year (to see Lee’s track record, please click here) Wall Street has reached a broad agreement with Lee. LI stock has a strong buy consensus rating based on 6 comments, including 5 buys and 1 hold. The stock price is $35.60 and the average price target is $44.18 is consistent with Lee's, suggesting 24% upside in the next 12 months (see LI stock analysis on TipRanks) Nio (NIO) Li Auto has the best-selling electric car model in China, while competitors Nio and Elon Musk’s Tesla competes for the largest market share. In the Chinese electric car market. NIO’s market value is US$90 billion and is China’s largest domestic electric car manufacturer. The company has a rich product lineup, including lithium-ion battery SUVs and water-cooled electric vehicles. Sports cars. There are two cars and a minivan on the drawing board for future releases. At the same time, Nio's cars are very popular. The company reports that the number of car deliveries in 2020 is 43,728, which is two of the number in 2019. In the last five months of this year, car deliveries have increased for 5 consecutive months. In December, deliveries exceeded 7,000. Nio’s revenue has been growing steadily, and it will show in the second and third quarters of 2020 Significant year-on-year growth. In the third quarter, this ratio was 150%. In absolute terms, revenue in the third quarter reached $654 million. However, because the stock price rose by 1016% in the past 52 weeks, there was no further growth. The room for this-at least according to Jefferies' Lee. Analysts started reporting on NIO with a "hold" rating and a target stock price of $60. This figure implies a 3% upside. "We use the DCF method for NIO Valuation. In the DCF model, we considered solid sales growth, positive net profit in fiscal year 24 and positive FCF in fiscal year 23. We use a WACC of 8.1% and a final growth rate of 5% to achieve the target price of $60. In general, Nio maintains a "medium buy" rating under the consensus of analysts, and 13 comments are recorded, including 7 "buy" and 6 "hold." The price of NIO is 57.71. U.S. dollar, the recent stock price rise has brought the price slightly below the average price target of $57.79. (See Nio stock analysis on Tiponks) XPeng, Inc. (XPEV) XPeng, like Li, is at the mid-end price level of the Chinese electric vehicle market Another company. The company produces two models, the G3 SUV and the P7 sedan. Both are long-range EV models that can travel 500 to 700 kilometers on a single charge and have an advanced autopilot system that can help drivers Delivery of G3 started in December 2018; Peng went public in June 2020. In another comparison with Li Auto, XPeng also went public on the U.S. market in the summer of 2020. The stock was listed on the New York Stock Exchange on the last day of August Listed on the exchange with an issue price of US$23.10, the company raised US$1.5 billion in the IPO. Since the initial public offering, the stock has risen 127% and the company’s market value has reached US$37.4 billion. 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